Melly Tomasina

2024 Election Forecast Senate. Republicans have a 71% chance of retaking the chamber while democrats have a 29% chance to maintain control. The graphic below shows the tipping point states, as well as their.

For a formal projection on how likely each party is to capture the senate majority and to win each seat, visit our senate forecast here. Senate has 51 democrats (including four independents) and 49 republicans.